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BIG-BET POKER CONCEPTS

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Why Play Pot Limit
Comparing Pot-Limit
Poker's Ten
You Playing Style
How Deep Are You
Taking The Initiative
Drawing Hand's
Psychology
Reading The Opponent
The Art of Bluffing
Betting The Bully
No Limit Play
All In Coups

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SPECIFIC POKER FORMS
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Using The Material
Pot-Limit & No-Limit
Big-Bet Hold'em Q/A
Big-Bet Hold'em Q/A 5-10
Big-Bet Hold'em Q/A 11-20
Pot-Limit Omaha
Pot-Limit Omaha Q/A
Seven-Card Stud
Lowball Draw
Key Pot-Limit
London Lowball Q/A
High Low Split
High Low Split Q/A
Strip Deck Poker

 

HIGH-LOW OMAHA 8-OR-BETTER PROBABILITTIES

Odds Of Making A Low Taking The Hand To The River

Holding           Flop                   4th St                  River

A-2-3-4           13-2 (13%)         9-5 (36%)           4-5 (55%) 
A-2-3-J            7-1 (12%)           2-1 (33%)          even (50%)
A-2-Q-J           12-1 (7%)           4-1 (20%)           8-5 (38%)

         This tells us very little. Going all-in with A-2-3-4 offsuit against A-2-3-4 double-suited leaves you with no wins at all, just praying one of the two three flushes doesn’t come up. If the final board is A-2-3-4-5, then you’ll be quartered off by 2-3-6. For this reason, you need A-A-2-3 or a close approximation to charge all-in before the flop. It is perfectly reasonable to raise once to clear out the fellow-travelers, but a monster is required to go to the table.

Odds Of Making A Low If The Flop Shows Two To A Low

e.g. You hold A-2-3-4 and the flop is Q-8-7

Holding             Making It 4th St            Making It 4th &/ or 5th St                             

A 2 3 4              4-3 (43%)                      1-2 (68%)
A 2 3 J              6-5 (45%)                      3-7 (70%)
A 2 Q J             2-1 (34%)                      3-4 (57%)

       If you hold just A-2 with no high potential, then you may end up being quartered, especially if there is more than one opponent. Calling with  onecard to come just to make a low is appalling. This table makes it look as if A-2-3 is a better hand than A-2-3-4. This is quite wrong. You are much more likely to make a straight or high with the four-card hand than just three cards.

OUTCOME OF TWO HANDS ALL-IN PREFLOP

       With 8-6-4-2 offsuit against K-K-Q-Q double-suited, each hand will garner half the money in long run. The low draw scoop (wins both ways) 24%, wins the low 34%, and wins high 9%. If kings-queens hand is unsuited, the other hand wins 53% of the money.
        My thanks to Dr. Mahmood Mahmood for help in deriving these figures, which are useful in shaping out good poker strategy. Any errors are mine.
        If we hold A-2-K-10 on the Q-8-7 flop, then we are only four to three against making the low. But we way end up being quartered off, especially if there is more than one opponent. Calling a bet with one card to come just isn’t on.
       We hope you are now convinced A-Q-9-2 isn’t much to write home about. A-Q-Q-2 is superior. Here you have a high hand made. You may get three-quarters of the pot with a flop such as 8-7-3. But beware of an 8-7-2, which counterfeits your low. You may end up with neither end of it.

LONDON LOWBALL, RAZZ, & 8-OR-BETTER STUD

        The statistics for the low end of it are identical for razz poker and eight-or-better stud, and can be compared with the London game. In London lowball, the best low is 6 4 3 2 A, as both straights and flushes count high. In razz and eight-or-better stud poker, a holding of 5 4 3 2 A is the monster. These latter two games are seldom played pot-limit in America, but they are in England. The chance in any of these games of starting with three to an eight-low in the first three cards is sixteen percent, about one hand in seven. The probability of making an eight-low or better at each point during the deal when starting with three unpaired low cards is given in the following table.

PROBABILITY

                                       London lowball        Razz or 8-or-better
By Card 5                        12.6%                      13.6%
By Card 5 or 6                23.7%                      25.4%
By Card 5, 6 or 7            33.3%                      35.6%

PROBABILITY OF MAKING AN EIGHT-LOW OR BETTER WITH CERTAIN HOLDINGS

                                      Razz or 8/ B or          London Lowball 
                                      London Lowball               (only)
                                               
                                      6 4 8 A                       6 4 3 2                   5 4 3 2

Card 5                            33%                            25%                     17%
Card 5, 6                        56%                            44%                     13%
Card 5, 6,                       70%                            55%                     42%   

PROBABILITY OPPONENT’S HAND IS FLAWED AT LONDON LOWBALL
                 
                    You hold (7 4) 2 9
                    
                    Opponent (??) 5 6        52%
                    Opponent (??) A 6        25%

        We assume he started with at worst three to an 8 low. By flawed, we mean he has paired or has four cards to straight (open-ended or middle-pin). If your opponent bets the pot with 5-6 here, you are not erring by raising all-in. If he bets small, he has you over a barrel. He may be very strong or very weak. (X A) 5 6, where X is a 2, 3, or 4, constitutes a monster against your hand.


        We hope you realize four cards to a nine-low is unplayable in high-low even with no qualifier. The reason an eight-low was selected as the break-off point for setting what is needed for a qualifier is it normally takes at least this much hand to win pot, whether forced to by the laws of the poker game or not

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SPECIAL SITUATION
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Tournament Strategy
Shorthanded Play

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GENERAL INFORMATION
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Poker History
Business
Pot-Limit Rules
Dealing Big-Bit Poker
The House Charge
Ethics & Courtesy
Cheating
Internet Poker

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THE ODD'S
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implied-odds-probability-poker.htmlFiguring The Odd's
Percentage Table

Odd's For Hold'em
Special Odd's Table
High-Low or Better

 

 

 
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